Former President Donald Trump is poised to make significant strides toward securing the GOP nomination on Super Tuesday, where 15 states will hold their Republican primary contests. With a combined 874 delegates, representing 72% of the total needed for a majority, up for grabs, Trump’s path to victory appears increasingly assured.
Leading in polls across multiple major Super Tuesday states, including Texas and California, Trump enjoys substantial advantages over his final challenger, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley. According to FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages, Trump holds a commanding 64 and 54-point lead in Texas and California, respectively.
While none of the Super Tuesday states award delegates on a winner-take-all basis, Trump enters the critical primary day with 244 delegates, compared to Haley’s 43. Trump’s campaign is optimistic about his prospects, predicting that he could secure the nomination as soon as March 12, based on calculations combining polling results in upcoming primary states with delegate availability.
The Super Tuesday lineup includes states such as Alabama, Arkansas, Massachusetts, and Virginia, among others, where Trump is expected to perform strongly. Haley, who has pledged to remain in the race at least until Super Tuesday, faces mounting pressure to reconsider her candidacy following the contests.
Despite facing multiple ongoing criminal and civil cases, Trump’s dominance within the Republican Party remains unshaken, with polls consistently showing him leading by double digits for months. A rematch between Trump and President Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election appears increasingly likely, with polls indicating a tight race.
On the Democratic side, Biden has secured all 206 delegates in the four primaries held so far, solidifying his frontrunner status. While long-shot candidates like Rep. Dean Phillips and author Marianne Williamson continue their primary bids, Biden remains the odds-on favorite to secure the Democratic nomination, needing 1,968 out of the total 3,934 delegates available.